
This stock has traded between 100-120 for over a year. Then yesterday it surprises the market with a big effing profit warning. Stock opens over 15% lower (88) snaps back to 92 and quickly falls to 90 before tumbling down to 86-88. I'm watching and wondering when and if the time has come to bottom fish.
Couple of hours pass and stock deteriates further to down to 25% (80-83). I'm not watching my screen at that point. Even before the good US GDP numbers come out this stock starts moving higher. Only with good GDP numbers do I start looking at warrants for this stock. I find one that is .55/.56 (84). 1min later it's .56/.57. Another 5min later .58/.59 (85). I see the high was .70 for the day and wonder if I should jump on?! (Didn't realize at the moment that around 92 of course that .70 would be normal price, but that I should not expect that)
Then it starts ticking down. I feel good and expect a 1-2% fall on the underlying. Warrant is .55/.56 again and I go long 40k. I feel my heart pumping (adrenalin rush) as I enter order cos I think I have to act quickly before it snaps back to .58. Imagine my shock and horror when literally as I'm buying the stock gets another 1.5% hit and falls to .52/.53. Less than 20seconds after paid .56! I think: Ok, overreaction! , I'll buy another lot and dump them both at .56 or .57 in an hour.
Then for 10min nothing much happens till it once again takes a beating of 2% and warrant is offered .49. I double again up buying 2lots this time. I'm really stretched at this point. I see the markets everywhere are ticking up, surely whoever is shorting this profit warning is going to take breather!?
But this stock just won't make a comeback and closes at the low of the day and with the warrant worth .45/.46. I was pretty devastated. But still a bit hopeful of a corrective move come today, what with the Dow being up 200 points!?
It opened at .50. My breakeven's .5175. It moves up gradually. I am able to dump the whole lot at .53 and thank my lucky stars for this close encounter!
[On a looney side note: I received an email yesterday that made it through the spam filter and was titled "You are going to be lucky". Talk about spot-on! :) Then I also started watchin a film called "Paranormal Activity" - a guy (daytrader) and his girlfriend (student) - trying to get rid of a demon she is haunted by. Makes you wonder sometimes. haha :) ]